Absorption rate is defined as the number of homes sold in a certain time period divided by the total number of homes available. The rate is determined by dividing the number of homes sold in a certain time period by the total number of available homes. The output is then identified as percentage or a # of months.
In other words, what absorption rate shows, is the amount of inventory on the market. For instance if the absorption rate is 3 months, that means if no other homes come on the market, all the homes would be sold (absorbed) by the end of 3 months, and there would be 0 homes on the market.
Industry experts vary on what they consider to be a seller's market, a buyer's market or a balanced market but one example uses an absorption rate of 6 months. A 6 month absorption rate would spell a balanced market. Less than 6 months would be a seller’s market and a rate above 6 months would be a buyers market.
What does that mean for Phoenix Metro - At the end of June we were at a 1.5 month absorption rate. That is an extremely low number! It displays just how limited the inventory is - 14,382 active listings for all of Phoenix Metro. Even through the COVID-19 pandemic we have seen the Phoenix stay a seller’s market because of the lack of new inventory that has come online.
There are many reasons that could be causing less listings going live; some would be sellers are worried if now is the right time to sell, some would be sellers don’t want to move during the pandemic, some would be sellers are re-financing at historically low interest rates and are happy to stay in their current homes, there are countless other reasons.
So if you have been waiting for the right time to sell, this could be a great opportunity for you, but of course, every situation is unique!
So in your next zoom meeting go ahead and drop in a line about the absorption rate in the Phoenix Metro area and do it with confidence!
As always we are here to help answer any questions and make sure you have all the knowledge you need for your real estate journey!